Indian Elections: Why Waves Don’t Matter

Data analysis for over 40 years shows that national issues or sentiments have a limited impact on votes and seats for a national party.   Amidst the current shrill, acrimonious rhetoric from political parties over a national “Modi wave”, its alleged mythical existence, and accusations of a compromised media in perpetuating it, one would think … Continued

Indian Elections: Debunking The Debunked Myths

“Survey shatters 5 Indian election myths” read a Financial Times headline in its characteristically emphatic style. The motivation for the headline was a survey carried out by the Centre for Advanced Studies of India at the University of Pennsylvania and Carnegie Endowment that presumably busted some purported myths based on voter surveys and data analysis. After listening to the … Continued