Rural India Continues To Outvote Urban India

  In one of our pre-election reports, we looked at 20 most rural and urban constituencies to understand voting patterns.   We also looked at the difference in percentage points in the highest and lowest rural and urban voter participation.   The 2014 elections saw a record voter turnout of 66% as against 58% in … Continued

Look Carefully Where India’s Young Voters Are

  Did India’s first-time voters really deliver in the 2014 Lok Sabha elections?   The answer is no but there is another angle for the new Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP)-led Government under Prime Minister Narendra Modi to consider: states with relatively low development (defined below) also have a high proportion of young voters. This is … Continued

How Many Murderers Are We Electing To Parliament?

India has a large proportion of criminals in politics who also get elected through the democratic process.   The latest statistics following the recent Lok Sabha elections stand like this: there are 186 Members of Parliament (MPs) who have criminal cases against them, nearly 34% of the total elected MPs. This number is the highest … Continued

Modi Win Shows Path To Parliament Is Through 11 States

  The venerated mathematician Nassim Taleb popularised the term “Black Swan” to describe an event that occurs outside the realm of normal expectations and has an extreme impact on the present and future. And human nature naively tries to concoct explanations for these events, post facto. The origin of the phrase traces back to a … Continued

South India To Congress Rescue….Again

Is it time for the Congress leadership to listen to politicians from Karnataka and Kerala? In an election when the party could not win even a single seat in almost 8 states, Karnataka has elected nine Congress MPs and Kerala eight Congress MPs.  Out of the 44 elected Congress MPs, that is nearly 39%.   … Continued

Modi’s Varanasi Magic & Eastern Head Winds

India’s lower house of parliament the Lok Sabha is now witness to something not seen in a long time- a one-party majority Government.The Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), led by its Prime Ministerial candidate Narendra Modi, won 282 seats out of the 543 Lok Sabha seats in the 2014 elections, and the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) … Continued

Indian Elections: Debunking The Debunked Myths

“Survey shatters 5 Indian election myths” read a Financial Times headline in its characteristically emphatic style. The motivation for the headline was a survey carried out by the Centre for Advanced Studies of India at the University of Pennsylvania and Carnegie Endowment that presumably busted some purported myths based on voter surveys and data analysis. After listening to the … Continued